Work is no longer the same: what kind of employees does business need in 2026? According to hh.ru data and official statistics, employment in Russia is at a record high level – more than 73 million people are employed in the country, and the unemployment rate is holding at a historically low mark of around 2%. At first glance, it's an ideal picture. There's plenty of work, but not enough people. Yet this is where the main challenge lies.
In recent years, companies' personnel costs have increased in almost all industries. According to hh.ru, in 2025 more than 50% of employers raised salaries. Add to this the near-universal expansion of social programs: free lunches, transport and fitness allowances, psychological relief rooms, and much more. Employers have to incur these expenses to retain staff amid personnel shortages and a salary race.
At the same time, only a small portion of companies in 2025 managed to significantly increase revenue — 16%, according to the Central Bank. And only 18% of them were able to boost productivity. Add to this the decline in business activity — the Central Bank's composite business climate index (essentially, business expectations) dropped from 3.9 points in 2025 to 2.7 in 2026. Companies are assessing their situation more poorly and acting more cautiously in hiring plans, investments, and production processes.
In fact, businesses found themselves in a situation where wages grew faster than labor efficiency. This creates enormous tension. And the only way for companies is to seek balance not through developing new projects and hiring new people, but through process optimization, automation implementation, and stricter requirements for results. Large employers are already more frequently talking today about possible layoffs, new demands on employees, and evaluation of each person's individual contribution to the overall result.
For a working person, this means one simple thing: if you want to earn more, you need to learn to be part of this efficiency.
Companies' requirements and expectations will continue to grow. The employer will want to see concrete returns — measurable and clear. You'll have to make efforts just to hold your current level. And income growth will only be possible through qualitative change — when you acquire new qualifications, integrate into new processes, and work with real output and a results-oriented approach.
The Russian economy has noticeably reoriented toward domestic demand in recent years. Construction, industry, and transport feel more stable than many export sectors. Millions of people are employed in industry, and this is where significant staff growth has occurred in recent years.
However, the employment structure remains skewed. There are significantly more office specialists than qualified workers, and unskilled labor is scarce altogether. According to HH.ru, today 40% of employed people are "white-collar" workers, 25% are qualified workers, and only 7% are unskilled employees. As a result, manufacturing companies face chronic shortages.
This is an important signal. Practical skills, technical qualifications, and the ability to work in real production are becoming no less valuable than managerial experience. Already now, some working specialties pay higher salaries than managers. And this isn't just about young specialists. Retraining and mastering applied competencies are becoming part of the new labor reality.
A separate line is digitization.
We've already said that improving efficiency is the motto of big — and small — business in 2026. And the main resource here is digitization, yes, that same AI, robotics, and automation. Digital skills are now mandatory not only for engineers or managers, but also for working specialties. Foremen, setup specialists, retail salespeople, warehouse staff, assembly line operators — without computer literacy, it's simply impossible to work.
If you look at open vacancies, you can see that digital literacy is ceasing to be an additional plus and is turning into a basic requirement. Those who ignore technology gradually end up on the periphery of the market.
Digitization doesn't "take away" jobs; it changes the requirements for people. And if you want to earn more, grow, and be in demand — digital skills must become part of your professional base.
Experts do not expect mass layoffs in 2026. But it won't be a year of automatic salary growth either. This is the year of efficiency.
Companies will count their money, digitization will accelerate, and the staff shortage will persist for now. But they will pay those who:
If you want to earn more — start not with the question "will they raise my salary," but with: "How do I impact the company's financial results? What additional value do I create in the digital economy?"
And the sooner you start answering it — the more confident you'll feel in the new economy.